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Wednesday, April 26, 2006

30 Republican House Seats in Jeopardy

From the conservative InvestorsInsight Publishing

The Mid-Term Elections: More Bad News For The GOP (scroll down)

here is now the possibility that the Democrats could retake the House of Representatives, and maybe even pick up a couple of Senate seats as well.

There has been a gigantic shift in the electoral map, perhaps one of the greatest shifts in recent political history. I must tell you going in, that most of the blame for this massive shift lies with President Bush and his administration…

The GOP has actually LOST ground on … national security issues where they have (or did have) the voters' confidence. And the issues they are articulating - flag burning, family values, etc. - are narrowly focused at the far right portion of their base…

The GOP's trump card has long been national security. The Dubai ports deal single-handedly derailed national security as a solid GOP issue. Whether you were for, or against, the ports deal, you have to admit that it was very badly handled (bungled really) by the Bush administration. You have to wonder how Bush's political advisors would not have foreseen the public's outrage over a deal that appeared to give control of several key US ports to a company owned by the United Arab Emirates…

You can expect the issues of immigration and national security to be BIG in this election cycle. These are issues where the GOP is historically strong, but this time around, these issues could turn on them. This explains in large part why so many congressional races that were not in play in early February are clearly in play today…

As usual, the Dems are doing nothing, except for enjoying the GOP slide. Don't forget one of the great political maxims: "Never interrupt your opponent when they are in the process of imploding." And the Republicans have done a brilliant job of that thus far…

Howard Dean invested heavily in building a national, 50-state ground organization. At the time, he was roundly criticized for it by the Democratic congressional leadership; now, however, it appears to be a stroke of political genius, as we predicted in our February 7 E-Letter. The fact that the Dems now have a ground game will doubtless play an important role in the 2006 mid-terms.

The Democrats are in an enviable position heading into the elections. Many Dems believe they now have the luxury of not having to articulate any specific positions or policies, and simply continue to criticize those taken by the president. It remains to be seen if the American people are so disgusted with Bush and Republicans in general that they will not insist on hearing what the Democrats plan to do if elected. This is sad.


From the also conservative Human Events


30 Republican House Seats in Jeopardy

With President Bush's popularity at an all-time low, hovering in the mid-30s in most national surveys, and the conservative base of the Republican Party increasingly dismayed with the President's performance on issues such as runaway government spending and immigration "reform," chances are increasing that the Democrats could eke out a majority in the House of Representatives in the elections this fall.

Four months ago, I concluded that there were 20 Republican House seats that were vulnerable to Democratic takeover, now I believe that there are 30. To achieve a majority, the Democrats would need to win a net gain of 15…


Carolyn Kay
MakeThemAccountable.com

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