Why Trust Robert Gates on Iraq

Two decades ago, then-CIA deputy director for intelligence Robert M. Gates made wildly erroneous predictions about what would happen in Central America if the United States didn't bomb Nicaragua and overthrow its leftist government.

Gates staked out a position considered too extreme even by the Reagan administration. But now, Official Washington is treating Gates as the returning Wise Man who will help guide the nation out of the Iraq debacle when he replaces Donald Rumsfeld as Defense Secretary.

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