Obama Dominating Among Early Voters in Five Swing States

SurveyUSA has a lot of good habits as a pollster, and one of them is breaking out the results of early and absentee voting in states where such things are allowed. So far, SurveyUSA has conducted polling in five states where some form of early voting was underway. In each one, Barack Obama is doing profoundly better among early voters than among the state's electorate as a whole:
... Poll % Voted Non-EarlyState Date Early Early Voters Likely Voters====================================

NM 10/13 10% Obama +23%

Obama +6%

OH 10/13 12%

Obama +18%

Obama +4%GA 10/12 18%

Obama +6%

McCain +11%IA 10/9 14%

Obama +34%

Obama +10%NC 10/6 5%

Obama +34

% McCain +5%

We should caveat that these are not hard-and-fast numbers. Estimates of early voting results are subject to the same statistical vagaries as any other sort of subgroup analysis, such as response bias and small sample sizes.

Nevertheless, Obama is leading by an average of 23 points among early voters in these five states, states which went to George W. Bush by an average of 6.5 points in 2004.

LinkHere