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Monday, May 30, 2005

You've been told the Exit Polls Can Not Be Trusted. Ok. Do you Trust The U.S. Census Dept.?

Link Above.

Census Statistics Indicate Vote Count Was Significantly Off
by davidgmills
Fri May 27th, 2005 at 15:50:02 PDT

And if we didn't have enough statistics already:
http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/voting/004986.html


Where did 3.4 million votes go?

If the census bureau's statistics can be trusted, this is just more evidence that the count was off.

The official tabulation on November 2, was 122.3 million voters.

The census bureau predicted post-election that 125.7 million people (thought they) had voted.

Why when we have so much evidence that the count was off and could have been easily manipulated by the corporate computers of Diebold and ES&S, which counted 80% of the vote, including 30% with no paper trail whatsoever, why are not more people questioning the validity of this election?

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A bit of background is in order here for the uninitiated. The exit polls predicted a Kerry win until Edison/Mytofsky, the exit poll consortium, in the early hours of November 3, "conformed" the exit polls to match the purported tabulation. Until this time, Kerry was ahead by nearly 3% in the exit polls.

The official hypothesis Edison/Mytofsky gave for the discrepancy between the "pre-conformed" exit polls and the official tabulation was that the exit polls must have been wrong because people who voted for Bush were reluctant to respond to exit pollsters and avoided them, thus giving Kerry an unwarranted lead in the exit polls.

The legitimacy of these so called "reluctant Bush responders," or "rBr" as they are called on exit poll cites and blogs, and their effect on the outcome of the exit polls, has been the subject of much statistical criticism and some downright scorn as some refer to "rBr" as a liepothesis not a hypothesis.

Now comes some post-election census data that is sure to fuel the fire and is further indicative that the "un-conformed" exit polls were correct.

Some very pertinent stats from above census bureau cite:

Women Voters -- 67,269,000

Men Voters -- 58,485,000

Total -- 125,754,000

Women % of total -- 53.4%

Men % of total -- 46.6%

These statistics bode grim for the proponents of the "rBr" hypothesis because "rBr" requires a huge number of men as non-responders to have plausibility.

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