Simple Calculus: Why Iran Won in Iraq

In many ways President George W. Bush's failure in Iraq was preordained before he ordered the invasion in March 2003. The war was a deadly mix of wishful thinking and cultural ignorance. Even when the early predictions of a flower-strewn Iraqi welcome proved false, Bush pressed ahead. In this guest essay, Middle East expert Morgan Strong says the "simple calculus" of Iraq's population also guaranteed that the ultimate victor would be Iran. March 29, 2007

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